Military satellites over conflict areas
On 21 October 2026, the working military satellites of 29 countries were predicted to pass over the places where UCDP recorded fighting this year in 36 countries: 13,182 passes in all. A country's satellites over itself are not counted. Each area's page lists the passes by country, the change on the week before, the clusters ahead and UCDP's record of the fighting.
Passes by area, 21 October 2026
predicted- Iran908passes
UCDP: 3,647 deaths - Pakistan770passes
UCDP: 3,073 deaths - Mali719passes
UCDP: 1,050 deaths - Sudan704passes
UCDP: 3,185 deaths - Colombia575passes
UCDP: 226 deaths - Ukraine574passes
UCDP: 57,464 deaths - Nigeria566passes
UCDP: 3,435 deaths - Myanmar553passes
UCDP: 1,082 deaths - Russian Federation537passes
UCDP: 378 deaths - India535passes
UCDP: 132 deaths - Afghanistan515passes
UCDP: 645 deaths - Mexico509passes
UCDP: 36 deaths - Somalia494passes
UCDP: 2,586 deaths - Iraq492passes
UCDP: 222 deaths - Ethiopia419passes
UCDP: 2,401 deaths - Niger410passes
UCDP: 647 deaths - Syria370passes
UCDP: 215 deaths - Central African Republic357passes
UCDP: 71 deaths - Philippines351passes
UCDP: 91 deaths - Democratic Republic of the Congo342passes
UCDP: 713 deaths - Burkina Faso340passes
UCDP: 1,649 deaths - Yemen307passes
UCDP: 1,737 deaths - Indonesia243passes
UCDP: 59 deaths - Kenya197passes
UCDP: 32 deaths - Cameroon195passes
UCDP: 171 deaths - Venezuela172passes
UCDP: 98 deaths - South Sudan160passes
UCDP: 123 deaths - Algeria131passes
UCDP: 25 deaths - Mozambique129passes
UCDP: 149 deaths - Thailand126passes
UCDP: 62 deaths - Palestine116passes
UCDP: 1,037 deaths - Chad92passes
UCDP: 71 deaths - Benin88passes
UCDP: 28 deaths - Haiti78passes
UCDP: 151 deaths - Lebanon67passes
UCDP: 4,367 deaths - Ghana41passes
UCDP: 31 deaths
Passes: predicted by overhead24 for each minute of the UTC day from Space-Track.org orbital elements, counting a pass when the point beneath a satellite is in or next to a 0.5° cell where UCDP recorded a death this year. Military satellites and their countries: GCAT by Jonathan McDowell (CC BY 4.0). Deaths: best estimates from the UCDP Candidate Events Dataset (CC BY 4.0), 1 January 2026 to 10 September 2026. Hegre, Håvard, Mihai Croicu, Kristine Eck and Stina Högbladh (2020), "Introducing the UCDP Candidate Events Dataset", Research & Politics. UCDP is part of and funded by DEMSCORE, national research infrastructure grant 2021-00162 from the Swedish Research Council. Arrows: the last 7 days against the 7 before, shown only when the change is more than orbit timing gives. See also military satellites by country and the live Watch list.