Conflict areas

Military satellites over Myanmar

On 21 October 2026, working military satellites of 18 countries were predicted to pass over the places in Myanmar where UCDP recorded fighting this year: 553 passes by 388 satellites. China's made the most: 336 passes by 216 satellites. A country's satellites over itself are not counted.

UCDP recorded 1,082 deaths (best estimate) in 308 events of state-based armed conflict in Myanmar between 1 January 2026 and 30 August 2026, and 2 clusters of one country's military satellites over the fighting are predicted in the next day.

Passes by country, 21 October 2026

predicted

How often each country's working military satellites pass over the fighting in Myanmar in the UTC day, for how many minutes in all, and by how many satellites. Arrows: the last 7 days against the 7 before, shown from 10% when new, moved or stopped satellites are behind it, or from 35% otherwise.

Clusters over Myanmar

next 24 h

When 4 or more of one country's working military satellites, from different launches, are over the fighting in Myanmar at the same time. Passes are fixed by orbits days ahead, so a cluster is usually a coincidence; satellites that changed orbit in the past week are marked. Worked out 21 Oct, 01:18 UTC from 827 working military satellites.

The fighting, from UCDP

1 January 2026 to 10 September 2026

The state-based armed conflicts UCDP recorded deaths in Myanmar this year, with when each began from the UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset (to 2025). Conflicts that began later aren't in that list yet.

ConflictDeathsSince
Myanmar (Burma): Government
Internal		72829 February 1948
this round since 3 May 2021
Myanmar (Burma): Karen
Internal		14031 December 1948
this round since 27 April 2021
Myanmar (Burma): Arakan
Internal		13531 January 1948
this round since 25 August 2022
Myanmar (Burma): Kachin
Internal		6131 December 1949
this round since 10 April 2021
Myanmar (Burma): Karenni
Internal		1331 December 1957
this round since 4 November 2021

Other conflict areas

by passes

Passes and clusters: predicted by overhead24 for each minute of the day from Space-Track.org orbital elements, counting a pass when the point beneath a satellite is in or next to a 0.5° cell where UCDP recorded a death this year. Military satellites and their countries: GCAT by Jonathan McDowell (CC BY 4.0). Fighting: the UCDP Candidate Events Dataset (CC BY 4.0). Hegre, Håvard, Mihai Croicu, Kristine Eck and Stina Högbladh (2020), "Introducing the UCDP Candidate Events Dataset", Research & Politics. UCDP is part of and funded by DEMSCORE, national research infrastructure grant 2021-00162 from the Swedish Research Council. Conflict start dates: UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset 26.1. Davies, Shawn, Therése Pettersson and Magnus Öberg (2026), "Organized violence 1989–2025, and violent political protests", Journal of Peace Research, doi:10.1093/jopres/xjag046; Gleditsch, Nils Petter, Peter Wallensteen, Mikael Eriksson, Margareta Sollenberg and Håvard Strand (2002), "Armed Conflict 1946–2001: A New Dataset", Journal of Peace Research 39(5). See military satellites by country and how overhead24 works.